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Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Sat Jan 18, 2025
3:30pm ET
Nashville, TN
Tennessee at Vanderbilt: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Tennessee by 5.5, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | VAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-18-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-8-0 | 11-6-0 | |
| Away | 11-10-0 | 8-8-0 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Gardner-Webb | -27.5 | W by 16 | -11.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +2.5 | W by 22 | +24.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Montana | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Austin Peay | -28.5 | W by 35 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Virginia | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Baylor | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | UT Martin | -37.5 | W by 43 | +5.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Syracuse | -22.5 | W by 26 | +3.5 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Miami | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Illinois | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | W Carolina | -36.0 | W by 48 | +12.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Middle Tenn | -27.0 | W by 18 | -9.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Norfolk St | -29.5 | W by 15 | -14.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Arkansas | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Florida | +3.0 | L by 30 | -27.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Texas | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Georgia | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Vanderbilt | -5.5 | L by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Mississippi St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Auburn | +7.0 | L by 2 | +5.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Kentucky | -10.5 | L by 5 | -15.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Florida | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 02/05 | Home | Missouri | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 11 | -14.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Vanderbilt | -12.5 | W by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Texas A&M | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | LSU | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Alabama | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | South Carolina | -15.0 | W by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.0 | W by 5 | +10.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Wofford | -18.5 | W by 15 | -3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | UCLA | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Kentucky | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Houston | +3.0 | L by 19 | -16.0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Maryland ES | -31.0 | W by 39 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Missouri St | -26.5 | W by 9 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | California | -7.0 | W by 16 | +9.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Jackson St | -27.0 | W by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tenn Tech | -23.5 | W by 31 | +7.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Virginia Tech | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Neutral | TCU | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | The Citadel | -28.5 | W by 52 | +23.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Austin Peay | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | New Orleans | -32.0 | W by 44 | +12.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | LSU | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Mississippi St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | South Carolina | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Tennessee | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Alabama | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Kentucky | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Oklahoma | +3.0 | L by 30 | -27.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Florida | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Texas | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Tennessee | +12.5 | L by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Kentucky | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Mississippi | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Missouri | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | L by 13 | -20.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Saint Mary's | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| TENN -5.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1608 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Tennessee won the game 1077 times (67.0%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 531 times (33.0%).
- The team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 798-786-24 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1224 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 610-584-30 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/18 03:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:35 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:21 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:47 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:20 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:25 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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