NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN VAN
Points 74.9 78.5
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 25.8
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.8
Shooting TENN VAN
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 56.8
Field Goal % 41.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 23.5
Free Throw % 68.2% 80.1%
Ball Control TENN VAN
Rebounds 42.3 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 16.6 8.2
Turnovers 10.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.3
Steals 5.3 6.7
Fouls 17.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN VAN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 77.4 71.0
% of Possessions with TENN VAN
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 32.0%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.7%
Turnover 14.9% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN VAN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 41.9% 24.2%