NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN VAN
Points 79.3 64.7
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 23.0
Points From Free Throws 17.0 13.3
Shooting TENN VAN
Field Goals Made 26.7 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 60.8
Field Goal % 49.5% 36.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.1
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.3%
Ball Control TENN VAN
Rebounds 39.6 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.0
Turnovers 10.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.1
Steals 4.7 6.4
Fouls 14.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN VAN
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 71.1
% of Possessions with TENN VAN
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 33.4%
Player Fouled 24.4% 20.4%
Turnover 15.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN VAN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 26.9%