NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN FLA
Points 82.6 73.5
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 19.0 18.6
Shooting TENN FLA
Field Goals Made 28.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 62.2
Field Goal % 43.9% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 42.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 19.0 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 25.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 73.2%
Ball Control TENN FLA
Rebounds 40.6 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 13.1
Turnovers 8.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.2
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 16.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN FLA
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 78.9 77.7
% of Possessions with TENN FLA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.8%
Turnover 11.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN FLA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 31.2%