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Tennessee at Arkansas
Wed Feb 26, 2020
8:30pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Tennessee at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 4.5, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-17-1 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-12-0 | 5-11-0 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TN Tech | -32.5 | W by 38 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wofford | -31.5 | W by 21 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Kansas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Geo Mason | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Illinois | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | GA Southern | -34.0 | W by 18 | -16.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Tarleton St | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Norfolk St | -24.0 | W by 37 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miss State | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | S Carolina | -14.0 | L by 4 | -18.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | LSU | -14.0 | W by 20 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Vanderbilt | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Miss State | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | St Peters | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3234 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 2145 times (66.3%).
- The team like Tennessee won the game 1089 times (33.7%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1631-1546-57 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3442 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1735-1644-63 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/26 08:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 07:06 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 07:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:18 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 05:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 03:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 03:18 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 01:03 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 12:15 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 12:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 11:35 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 11:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/26 10:39 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/26 08:10 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:24 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 04:21 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 02:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/25 11:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/25 06:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/25 05:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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