NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM TXST
Points 66.7 73.8
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 16.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.7
Shooting ULM TXST
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 52.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 23.8
Free Throw % 66.8% 70.3%
Ball Control ULM TXST
Rebounds 33.3 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.6
Turnovers 11.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 6.7 6.3
Fouls 17.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM TXST
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.7
% of Possessions with ULM TXST
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 19.3%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.3%
Turnover 16.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM TXST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 27.7%