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UL Monroe at Miss State
Thu Nov 14, 2019
7:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
UL Monroe at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 15.5, Total Points: 132.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ULM | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-16-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-8-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
UL Monroe Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | +30.5 | L by 53 | -22.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | LA Tech | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | S Methodist | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/12 | Away | Sam Hous St | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Lamar | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Jacksonville | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | App State | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Marshall | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | GA Southern | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | S Mississippi | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Texas St | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | James Mad | +21.0 | L by 19 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Old Dominion | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Alabama | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Arkansas St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Louisiana | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Arkansas St | +8.0 | L by 15 | -7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Coastal Car | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Michigan | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Troy | +12.5 | L by 28 | -15.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Louisiana | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Troy | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas St | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | S Alabama | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -15.5 | Open | -15.5 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 862 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 811 times (94.1%).
- The team like Louisiana Monroe won the game 51 times (5.9%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 425-422-15 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2719 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana Monroe did better against the spread, going 1337-1328-54 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -- | -15.5 |
| Open | -15.5 | -- | -15.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/14 06:57 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 04:10 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 03:33 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 02:49 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 12:31 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 10:15 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 11/14 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 11/13 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 11/13 05:24 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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