NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM MSST
Points 62.2 83.2
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 28.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.2
Shooting ULM MSST
Field Goals Made 22.3 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 54.4
Field Goal % 39.6% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 66.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 25.9% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 24.7
Free Throw % 66.8% 65.5%
Ball Control ULM MSST
Rebounds 30.3 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.8
Turnovers 12.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.3
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 17.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM MSST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 70.2
% of Possessions with ULM MSST
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 30.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.8%
Turnover 17.2% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM MSST
Shot Blocked 6.1% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 35.1%