NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM LT
Points 60.9 78.4
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 26.2
Points From Free Throws 14.6 18.4
Shooting ULM LT
Field Goals Made 20.6 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 53.2
Field Goal % 36.1% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 37.9% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 14.6 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 26.1
Free Throw % 66.8% 70.3%
Ball Control ULM LT
Rebounds 32.4 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.5
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.7
Steals 6.1 5.9
Fouls 17.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM LT
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 69.8
% of Possessions with ULM LT
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 25.4%
Turnover 14.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM LT
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 32.6%