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UL Monroe at NW State
Sat Dec 10, 2022
4:30pm ET
Natchitoches, LA
UL Monroe at NW State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern St. by 7.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ULM | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-16-0 | 15-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-8-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 10-9-0 |
UL Monroe Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | +30.5 | L by 53 | -22.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | LA Tech | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | S Methodist | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/12 | Away | Sam Hous St | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Lamar | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Jacksonville | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | App State | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Marshall | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | GA Southern | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | S Mississippi | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Texas St | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | James Mad | +21.0 | L by 19 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Old Dominion | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Alabama | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Arkansas St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Louisiana | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Arkansas St | +8.0 | L by 15 | -7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Coastal Car | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Michigan | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Troy | +12.5 | L by 28 | -15.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Louisiana | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Troy | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas St | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | S Alabama | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
NW State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas Christian | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Tulane | +18.5 | L by 17 | +1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Ste F Austin | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Maine | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | N Florida | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Presbyterian | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Baylor | +34.0 | L by 51 | -17.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | S Mississippi | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Boise St | +23.5 | L by 41 | -17.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Rice | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | LSU | +25.0 | L by 41 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Lamar | +10.5 | L by 20 | -9.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | McNeese St | +19.0 | L by 9 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Incar Word | +2.5 | W by 26 | +28.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Hsn Christian | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | New Orleans | +7.0 | W by 25 | +32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | McNeese St | +19.5 | L by 24 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Nicholls | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New Orleans | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 20 | +23.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +12.5 | L by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Hsn Christian | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lamar | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Nicholls | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| NWST -7.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2710 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern St. won the game 2077 times (76.6%).
- The team like UL Monroe won the game 633 times (23.4%).
- The team like Northwestern St. did better against the spread, going 1337-1326-47 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2997 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UL Monroe did better against the spread, going 1473-1462-62 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 04:28 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:28 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:07 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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