NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM NWST
Points 75.4 71.6
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 22.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 15.2
Shooting ULM NWST
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 54.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 19.2 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 23.5
Free Throw % 66.8% 64.9%
Ball Control ULM NWST
Rebounds 39.3 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.3
Turnovers 11.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.7
Steals 6.4 5.5
Fouls 17.0 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM NWST
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 69.3
% of Possessions with ULM NWST
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 26.8%
Player Fouled 25.0% 23.8%
Turnover 15.4% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM NWST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 38.1% 26.7%