NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM TULN
Points 72.6 84.7
Total Points   157.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 26.7
Points From Free Throws 15.8 21.2
Shooting ULM TULN
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 52.1
Field Goal % 40.4% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 29.7
Free Throw % 66.8% 71.6%
Ball Control ULM TULN
Rebounds 38.1 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 5.2
Turnovers 10.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.6
Steals 5.9 6.2
Fouls 19.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM TULN
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.3 69.8
% of Possessions with ULM TULN
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 27.9%
Player Fouled 21.4% 26.6%
Turnover 14.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM TULN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 17.4%