NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM USA
Points 74.1 80.4
Total Points   154.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 30.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 14.4
Shooting ULM USA
Field Goals Made 26.8 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 56.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 15.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 19.2
Free Throw % 66.8% 74.7%
Ball Control ULM USA
Rebounds 37.3 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 5.8
Turnovers 10.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.6
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 15.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Alabama

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM USA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 67.6
% of Possessions with ULM USA
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 31.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.4%
Turnover 14.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM USA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 18.7%