NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM ULL
Points 67.9 79.3
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 10.9 25.5
Points From Free Throws 17.7 14.8
Shooting ULM ULL
Field Goals Made 23.3 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 58.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 25.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 17.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 20.2
Free Throw % 66.8% 73.6%
Ball Control ULM ULL
Rebounds 35.8 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.4
Turnovers 12.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.6
Steals 6.3 6.8
Fouls 15.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM ULL
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 70.7
% of Possessions with ULM ULL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 24.3% 22.0%
Turnover 17.9% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM ULL
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 28.5%