NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM ULL
Points 67.3 69.0
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.3
Shooting ULM ULL
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 58.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.3
Free Throw % 66.3% 75.6%
Ball Control ULM ULL
Rebounds 37.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.5
Turnovers 12.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 4.3 5.2
Fouls 15.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM ULL
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 71.0
% of Possessions with ULM ULL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.3%
Turnover 17.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM ULL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 27.5%