NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM LSU
Points 66.2 84.9
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 30.8
Points From Free Throws 14.7 18.5
Shooting ULM LSU
Field Goals Made 23.1 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.8
Field Goal % 39.7% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 41.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 25.3
Free Throw % 66.8% 73.3%
Ball Control ULM LSU
Rebounds 32.4 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.8
Turnovers 11.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 16.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM LSU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.7
% of Possessions with ULM LSU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 35.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.4%
Turnover 16.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM LSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 29.5%