NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM UALR
Points 68.3 79.6
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 24.3
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.2
Shooting ULM UALR
Field Goals Made 23.2 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.3
Field Goal % 39.6% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 19.5
Free Throw % 66.8% 73.1%
Ball Control ULM UALR
Rebounds 34.2 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.1
Turnovers 10.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.4
Steals 5.9 4.7
Fouls 15.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM UALR
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 68.8
% of Possessions with ULM UALR
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 26.1%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.6%
Turnover 14.6% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM UALR
Shot Blocked 7.9% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 29.4%