NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW BRY
Points 64.8 69.8
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.2 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 18.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.5
Shooting MW BRY
Field Goals Made 21.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 57.4
Field Goal % 35.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.5
Free Throw % 74.8% 67.6%
Ball Control MW BRY
Rebounds 33.3 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 15.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.6
Steals 10.0 6.1
Fouls 15.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Merrimack

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW BRY
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.2
% of Possessions with MW BRY
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 22.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.2%
Turnover 16.0% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 13.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW BRY
Shot Blocked 9.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 25.7%