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Merrimack at Providence
Tue Nov 19, 2019
7:00pm ET
Providence, RI
Merrimack at Providence: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Providence by 21, Total Points: 128
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MW | adv | PROV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-13-1 | 19-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 14-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 8-10-1 | |
| Away | 10-8-1 | 11-5-0 |
Merrimack Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Vermont | +15.0 | L by 12 | +3.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Worcester State | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/12 | Away | Maine | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | NC A&T | -6.0 | W by 23 | +17.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Samford | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama St | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Georgetown | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Mass Lowell | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Florida | +21.5 | L by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Felician University | -- | W by 4 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Cincinnati | +20.0 | L by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Bucknell | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Boston U | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Le Moyne | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Central Conn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Wagner | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Stonehill | -12.5 | W by 16 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Wagner | -2.0 | W by 16 | +14.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Central Conn | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LIU | -11.0 | W by 3 | -8.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Stonehill | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | LIU | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | F Dickinson | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sacred Hrt | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | LIU | -14.5 | W by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Wagner | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
Providence Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Columbia | -19.0 | W by 19 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wisconsin | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Kansas St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Georgia | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Lehigh | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Wagner | -21.5 | W by 34 | +12.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Rhode Island | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Oklahoma | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Brown | -15.0 | W by 20 | +5.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Marquette | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Butler | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Creighton | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | St Johns | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Xavier | -2.0 | L by 20 | -22.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | DePaul | -9.5 | W by 38 | +28.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Seton Hall | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgetown | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Connecticut | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Villanova | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Creighton | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Butler | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | St Johns | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | DePaul | -20.0 | W by 11 | -9.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Xavier | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Marquette | +11.5 | L by 22 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgetown | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Connecticut | +9.0 | L by 14 | -5.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Georgetown | -9.5 | W by 18 | +8.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Creighton | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Boston Col | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| PROV -21.0 | Open | -22.0 | High | -22.0 |
| Last | -22.0 | Low | -21.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 342 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like Providence won the game 333 times (97.4%).
- The team like Merrimack won the game 9 times (2.6%).
- The team like Merrimack did better against the spread, going 168-163-11 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2599 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Providence did better against the spread, going 1306-1245-48 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -21.5 | -- |
| Open | -21.0 | -21.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/19 06:56 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 05:44 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 03:28 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:36 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 11:54 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 10:54 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 11/19 09:50 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 09:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/19 09:21 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
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