NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW UCRV
Points 75.3 67.6
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 17.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 12.6
Shooting HAW UCRV
Field Goals Made 26.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 59.7
Field Goal % 50.8% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 15.2 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 17.7
Free Throw % 72.5% 71.1%
Ball Control HAW UCRV
Rebounds 35.3 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.1
Steals 2.8 5.0
Fouls 15.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW UCRV
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 70.4
% of Possessions with HAW UCRV
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 24.2% 22.2%
Turnover 15.4% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 4.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW UCRV
Shot Blocked 1.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 22.7%