NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW MAN
Points 75.8 64.3
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 15.8
Points From Free Throws 14.3 16.7
Shooting MW MAN
Field Goals Made 26.1 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 56.7
Field Goal % 46.6% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 41.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 20.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 81.0%
Ball Control MW MAN
Rebounds 32.7 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 13.0
Turnovers 8.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 6.4 2.2
Steals 6.2 5.0
Fouls 13.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW MAN
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.9
% of Possessions with MW MAN
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 22.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 19.8%
Turnover 12.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW MAN
Shot Blocked 4.1% 11.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 35.3%