NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW MAN
Points 72.1 68.3
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 22.1
Points From Free Throws 9.4 14.2
Shooting MW MAN
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 9.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 18.3
Free Throw % 71.7% 77.4%
Ball Control MW MAN
Rebounds 30.0 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 14.4
Turnovers 6.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.8 1.7
Steals 8.1 4.2
Fouls 13.2 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW MAN
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 70.4
% of Possessions with MW MAN
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 16.3% 19.4%
Turnover 10.2% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW MAN
Shot Blocked 3.0% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 39.1%