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Merrimack at Wagner
Wed Mar 3, 2021
4:00pm ET
New York, NY
Merrimack at Wagner: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wagner by 4.5, Total Points: 128.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MW | adv | WAG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-13-1 | 15-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-8-1 | 10-11-0 |
Merrimack Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Vermont | +15.0 | L by 12 | +3.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Worcester State | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/12 | Away | Maine | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | NC A&T | -6.0 | W by 23 | +17.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Samford | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama St | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Georgetown | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Mass Lowell | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Florida | +21.5 | L by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Felician University | -- | W by 4 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Cincinnati | +20.0 | L by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Bucknell | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Boston U | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Le Moyne | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Central Conn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Wagner | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Stonehill | -12.5 | W by 16 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Wagner | -2.0 | W by 16 | +14.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Central Conn | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LIU | -11.0 | W by 3 | -8.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Stonehill | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | LIU | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | F Dickinson | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sacred Hrt | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | LIU | -14.5 | W by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Wagner | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
Wagner Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Fordham | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Molloy | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/14 | Away | Rhode Island | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Seton Hall | +20.5 | L by 21 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NJIT | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Providence | +21.5 | L by 34 | -12.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Stony Brook | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Coppin St | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Boston U | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Fairfield | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Gwynedd-Mercy | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/30 | Away | Manhattan | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | LIU | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Stonehill | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Merrimack | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Merrimack | +2.0 | L by 16 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Central Conn | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Le Moyne | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Stonehill | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | F Dickinson | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Central Conn | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LIU | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Le Moyne | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | F Dickinson | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Central Conn | +6.5 | W by 10 | +16.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Merrimack | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Howard | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | N Carolina | +25.5 | L by 28 | -2.5 |
| WAG -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3278 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wagner won the game 2168 times (66.1%).
- The team like Merrimack won the game 1110 times (33.9%).
- The team like Wagner did better against the spread, going 1653-1571-54 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 673 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Merrimack did better against the spread, going 329-317-27 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/03 03:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 03:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:32 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:59 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 09:38 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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