NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP BYU
Points 66.5 85.3
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 30.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.2
Shooting PEPP BYU
Field Goals Made 23.8 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 60.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 18.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 72.5%
Ball Control PEPP BYU
Rebounds 30.1 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.5
Turnovers 10.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 3.9 5.1
Fouls 14.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP BYU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.6
% of Possessions with PEPP BYU
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 31.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 19.9%
Turnover 14.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP BYU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 29.4%