NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP CAL
Points 71.4 78.3
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 24.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 14.7
Shooting PEPP CAL
Field Goals Made 25.4 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 59.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.2%
Ball Control PEPP CAL
Rebounds 34.5 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.2
Turnovers 9.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.3
Steals 4.0 5.4
Fouls 14.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: California

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP CAL
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.8
% of Possessions with PEPP CAL
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.6%
Turnover 13.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP CAL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 26.5%