NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP ACU
Points 74.4 70.1
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 15.3
Points From Free Throws 14.6 15.9
Shooting PEPP ACU
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 55.3
Field Goal % 49.0% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 13.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 14.6 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.4%
Ball Control PEPP ACU
Rebounds 35.9 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.4
Turnovers 12.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.5
Steals 4.5 6.5
Fouls 16.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP ACU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 68.4
% of Possessions with PEPP ACU
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 16.7%
Player Fouled 24.6% 22.5%
Turnover 17.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP ACU
Shot Blocked 2.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 21.9%