NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV CHAR
Points 65.9 65.1
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 18.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.7
Shooting DAV CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.5 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 50.9
Field Goal % 42.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 20.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.2%
Ball Control DAV CHAR
Rebounds 33.3 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.5
Turnovers 8.6 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 5.5 4.9
Fouls 15.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV CHAR
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 63.4
% of Possessions with DAV CHAR
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.4%
Turnover 13.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 23.6%