NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW WIS
Points 73.6 74.8
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 21.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.1
Shooting NW WIS
Field Goals Made 26.3 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 51.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 42.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 21.5
Free Throw % 75.6% 75.1%
Ball Control NW WIS
Rebounds 27.2 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 7.1
Turnovers 8.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.1
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 17.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW WIS
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 64.4
% of Possessions with NW WIS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 23.2% 25.6%
Turnover 12.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW WIS
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 24.8%