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Kansas St at Baylor
Wed Jan 27, 2021
9:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Kansas St at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 24, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | KSU | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 9-8-0 | 10-7-1 |
Kansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | USC | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Bellarmine | -16.0 | W by 8 | -8.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | S Dakota St | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Providence | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miami | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Central Ark | -27.0 | W by 44 | +17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Oral Roberts | -14.0 | W by 10 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Alabama | -19.0 | W by 1 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Villanova | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | W by 15 | +18.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Nebraska | -4.0 | L by 16 | -20.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Wichita St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Chicago St | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | UCF | -5.0 | W by 25 | +20.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | W Virginia | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas Tech | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Baylor | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oklahoma St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa St | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Houston | +15.0 | L by 22 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Oklahoma | -3.0 | L by 20 | -23.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Oklahoma St | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/05 | Home | Kansas | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | BYU | +11.0 | L by 6 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX Christian | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | Texas | +9.0 | L by 6 | +3.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | BYU | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Cincinnati | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Kansas | +12.5 | L by 22 | -9.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Texas | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Iowa | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -23.5 | Open | -26.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -24.0 | Low | -23.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 321 games where the closing line favored the home team by 22.5 to 24.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 318 times (99.1%).
- The team like Kansas State won the game 3 times (0.9%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 165-154-2 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 123 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 73-47-3 (60.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -22.5 | -24.0 | -23.5 |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.0 | -24.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/27 08:59 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:29 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -23.5 |
| 01/27 07:56 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:05 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:38 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 05:56 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:56 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:08 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:02 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:47 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:20 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:38 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:17 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:47 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:50 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -24.0 |
| 01/27 07:50 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:25 AM | -- | -- | -24.5 |
| 01/27 12:14 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 01/26 11:40 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 07:34 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 01/26 05:34 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 01/26 05:23 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
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