NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB UNCO
Points 77.1 78.0
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 21.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.3
Shooting WEB UNCO
Field Goals Made 27.6 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 56.1
Field Goal % 48.2% 53.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 13.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 74.6%
Ball Control WEB UNCO
Rebounds 29.2 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 5.4
Turnovers 8.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.1
Steals 6.5 4.7
Fouls 13.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB UNCO
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 64.6
% of Possessions with WEB UNCO
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 18.7%
Turnover 12.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB UNCO
Shot Blocked 3.8% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 19.2%