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Arizona at Baylor
Mon Feb 17, 2025
10:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Arizona at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 2.5, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-15-1 | 15-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 15-7-0 | 8-9-0 |
Arizona Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Utah Tech | -33.5 | W by 26 | -7.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Arizona | -35.5 | W by 35 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | UCLA | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | UConn | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | -33.0 | W by 30 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Norfolk St | -35.5 | W by 37 | +1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Auburn | -11.0 | W by 29 | +18.0 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 21 | +18.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Abl Christian | -34.0 | W by 34 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | San Diego St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Bethune | -39.5 | W by 36 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Dakota St | -30.5 | W by 28 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Utah | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Kansas St | -18.0 | W by 25 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | TCU | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Arizona St | -21.0 | W by 7 | -14.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | UCF | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Cincinnati | -13.5 | W by 26 | +12.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | West Virginia | -18.5 | W by 35 | +16.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | BYU | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arizona St | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Oklahoma St | -20.5 | W by 37 | +16.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Kansas | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Texas Tech | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | BYU | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Houston | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Baylor | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Kansas | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Colorado | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | UCF | -15.5 | W by 22 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Iowa St | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Houston | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | LIU | -30.5 | W by 34 | +3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Purdue | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Michigan | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | UT Rio Grande | -24.5 | W by 15 | -9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Washington | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Tarleton St | -23.5 | W by 13 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | St John's | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Diego St | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Sacramento St | -29.5 | W by 22 | -7.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Memphis | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Norfolk St | -27.0 | W by 30 | +3.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -35.5 | W by 57 | +21.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | W by 44 | +18.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Arlington Baptist College | -- | W by 63 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | TCU | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Iowa St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oklahoma St | -1.5 | W by 15 | +13.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | TCU | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Cincinnati | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | West Virginia | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Colorado | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Iowa St | +14.0 | L by 3 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | BYU | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 02/14 | Neutral | Louisville | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Kansas St | -4.0 | L by 16 | -20.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Arizona St | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | UCF | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Houston | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Arizona St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 04/01 | Neutral | Minnesota | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| BAY -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3851 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 2218 times (57.6%).
- The team like Arizona won the game 1633 times (42.4%).
- The team like Arizona did better against the spread, going 1897-1889-65 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3738 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arizona did better against the spread, going 1848-1818-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/17 09:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/17 09:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/17 09:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:05 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/17 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/17 07:24 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 07:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/17 07:14 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 12:45 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/17 12:20 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 10:44 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/17 10:06 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/17 09:46 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:12 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 09:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/17 08:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/17 08:20 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/16 11:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/16 10:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/16 07:20 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/16 06:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/16 06:48 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/16 05:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/16 05:12 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/16 04:35 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/16 04:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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