NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB IDST
Points 72.2 68.8
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 17.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 12.1
Shooting WEB IDST
Field Goals Made 26.0 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 52.3
Field Goal % 50.6% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 17.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.0%
Ball Control WEB IDST
Rebounds 28.7 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 7.8
Turnovers 9.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.0
Steals 6.2 5.2
Fouls 15.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB IDST
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 63.4
% of Possessions with WEB IDST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.7%
Turnover 15.0% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB IDST
Shot Blocked 5.8% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 26.1%