NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL DEP
Points 79.6 61.4
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 22.0
Points From Free Throws 11.8 10.7
Shooting VILL DEP
Field Goals Made 28.0 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 53.2
Field Goal % 48.2% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.2 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.9% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.8 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 14.5
Free Throw % 79.7% 73.8%
Ball Control VILL DEP
Rebounds 35.2 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 5.5
Turnovers 8.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 6.4 4.5
Fouls 14.5 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL DEP
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 61.7
% of Possessions with VILL DEP
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 40.7% 30.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 21.5%
Turnover 11.9% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL DEP
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 16.4%