NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH CCSU
Points 70.4 72.7
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.1
Shooting UNH CCSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 59.2
Field Goal % 41.5% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 17.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.4%
Ball Control UNH CCSU
Rebounds 34.7 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.8
Turnovers 11.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.3
Steals 6.3 7.7
Fouls 12.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH CCSU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 69.8
% of Possessions with UNH CCSU
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 27.0%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.5%
Turnover 15.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH CCSU
Shot Blocked 9.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 22.3%