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Kentucky vs. Duke
Tue Nov 9, 2021
9:30pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Kentucky vs. Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 2.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 21-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-0 | 10-7-1 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
| DUKE -2.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2871 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 1673 times (58.3%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 1198 times (41.7%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 1442-1382-47 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1476 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 775-678-23 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/09 09:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 09:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/09 08:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 07:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 07:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 06:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 06:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 06:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 04:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 04:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 02:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/09 01:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/09 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/09 12:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/09 11:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/09 11:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/09 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/09 10:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/09 09:53 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 09:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:56 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/09 08:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 11:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 08:46 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/08 06:01 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 05:10 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 02:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/08 02:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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