NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV SBON
Points 66.9 70.3
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 22.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.0
Shooting DAV SBON
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.7
Field Goal % 42.9% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 77.3%
Ball Control DAV SBON
Rebounds 32.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.1
Turnovers 10.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 4.7 6.2
Fouls 14.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV SBON
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 66.7
% of Possessions with DAV SBON
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 28.0%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.7%
Turnover 15.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV SBON
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 27.5%