NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW OSU
Points 69.6 72.4
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 19.4
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.9
Shooting NW OSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 52.7
Field Goal % 41.2% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 21.1
Free Throw % 75.6% 75.2%
Ball Control NW OSU
Rebounds 31.7 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.5
Turnovers 7.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.8
Steals 5.3 4.1
Fouls 16.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW OSU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 65.4
% of Possessions with NW OSU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 23.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.2%
Turnover 11.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW OSU
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 24.6%