NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU BUT
Points 73.4 72.6
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.6
Shooting KSU BUT
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 61.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 80.2%
Ball Control KSU BUT
Rebounds 39.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.3
Turnovers 12.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 6.1 6.6
Fouls 15.0 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU BUT
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 72.4
% of Possessions with KSU BUT
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.6%
Turnover 16.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU BUT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 24.4%