NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH BRY
Points 70.6 79.7
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 23.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 11.4
Shooting UNH BRY
Field Goals Made 23.2 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.2 63.5
Field Goal % 35.6% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 15.4 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 16.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 67.6%
Ball Control UNH BRY
Rebounds 38.7 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.9
Turnovers 11.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.7 7.2
Steals 7.3 6.9
Fouls 14.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH BRY
Total Possessions 78.7
Effective Scoring Chances 76.2 74.0
% of Possessions with UNH BRY
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 30.2%
Player Fouled 18.7% 17.8%
Turnover 14.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH BRY
Shot Blocked 11.4% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 18.9%