NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK USF
Points 62.5 79.3
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.3 25.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 23.3
Shooting COOK USF
Field Goals Made 21.4 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 50.4
Field Goal % 37.4% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 23.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 32.1
Free Throw % 75.9% 72.6%
Ball Control COOK USF
Rebounds 32.1 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.4
Turnovers 12.3 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.0
Steals 7.3 7.5
Fouls 20.7 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK USF
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 70.1
% of Possessions with COOK USF
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 34.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 28.6%
Turnover 17.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK USF
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 29.4%