NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU LAM
Points 72.6 72.7
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 17.1
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.4
Shooting ACU LAM
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 58.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.0
Free Throw % 73.4% 72.1%
Ball Control ACU LAM
Rebounds 33.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.0
Turnovers 11.7 12.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 6.9 5.7
Fouls 16.6 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU LAM
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.4
% of Possessions with ACU LAM
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 20.3%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.7%
Turnover 16.0% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU LAM
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 31.4%