NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH GW
Points 74.0 81.0
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 26.9
Points From Free Throws 11.1 13.9
Shooting UNH GW
Field Goals Made 26.5 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 60.9
Field Goal % 40.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 18.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.4%
Ball Control UNH GW
Rebounds 35.1 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.7
Turnovers 9.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.0
Steals 6.4 6.6
Fouls 12.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH GW
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 72.2
% of Possessions with UNH GW
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 32.1%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.9%
Turnover 12.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH GW
Shot Blocked 8.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 22.3%