NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB WSU
Points 62.2 76.1
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 17.4
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.8
Shooting WEB WSU
Field Goals Made 21.7 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.8
Field Goal % 40.1% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 18.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.0%
Ball Control WEB WSU
Rebounds 25.2 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 19.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 8.8
Turnovers 8.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.1 4.4
Steals 5.2 4.2
Fouls 15.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB WSU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 65.5
% of Possessions with WEB WSU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 20.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.6%
Turnover 13.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB WSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.8% 31.3%