NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU BYU
Points 70.4 79.9
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 28.0
Points From Free Throws 10.6 12.3
Shooting KSU BYU
Field Goals Made 25.4 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 60.3
Field Goal % 42.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.6 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 17.2
Free Throw % 68.2% 71.8%
Ball Control KSU BYU
Rebounds 31.4 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.5
Turnovers 10.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 14.0 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU BYU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 71.5
% of Possessions with KSU BYU
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 33.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.7%
Turnover 14.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU BYU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 34.0%