NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK ALA
Points 91.4 92.9
Total Points   184.3
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 38.9
Points From Free Throws 19.1 19.1
Shooting UK ALA
Field Goals Made 31.8 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.9 68.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 19.1 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 25.0
Free Throw % 78.2% 76.4%
Ball Control UK ALA
Rebounds 37.0 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 13.2
Turnovers 9.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 6.6 4.2
Steals 7.3 5.9
Fouls 17.4 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK ALA
Total Possessions 80.2
Effective Scoring Chances 80.1 82.9
% of Possessions with UK ALA
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 35.4%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.7%
Turnover 12.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK ALA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 32.5%