NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH HC
Points 78.1 70.4
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 21.9
Points From Free Throws 13.8 8.9
Shooting UNH HC
Field Goals Made 26.7 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 58.8
Field Goal % 44.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 13.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 66.3%
Ball Control UNH HC
Rebounds 34.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.9
Turnovers 7.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.9
Steals 6.2 4.3
Fouls 11.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH HC
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 67.2
% of Possessions with UNH HC
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 28.9%
Player Fouled 21.3% 16.4%
Turnover 11.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH HC
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 20.0%