NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL BC
Points 70.4 69.1
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 27.8
Points From Free Throws 11.7 8.9
Shooting VILL BC
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 58.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 27.8 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 11.7 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 11.9
Free Throw % 79.7% 74.4%
Ball Control VILL BC
Rebounds 34.7 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 7.0
Turnovers 8.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.7
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 12.8 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL BC
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 65.8
% of Possessions with VILL BC
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 38.7% 35.2%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.1%
Turnover 12.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL BC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 20.2%