NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW MINN
Points 74.0 71.7
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 22.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.2
Shooting NW MINN
Field Goals Made 26.5 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 50.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 43.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 20.9
Free Throw % 75.6% 67.9%
Ball Control NW MINN
Rebounds 30.8 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 6.8
Turnovers 7.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.4
Steals 7.1 4.7
Fouls 15.0 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW MINN
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 63.2
% of Possessions with NW MINN
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 26.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.2%
Turnover 11.6% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW MINN
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.1%