NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV STJOE
Points 68.9 72.1
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 29.0
Points From Free Throws 12.5 13.0
Shooting DAV STJOE
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 57.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.5 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 18.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.9%
Ball Control DAV STJOE
Rebounds 35.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.7
Turnovers 10.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.7
Steals 6.3 6.6
Fouls 14.1 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV STJOE
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 68.7
% of Possessions with DAV STJOE
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 35.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.3%
Turnover 14.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV STJOE
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 27.3%