NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL
Points 80.5 50.9
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 22.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 5.1
Shooting VILL
Field Goals Made 28.4 19.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 53.2
Field Goal % 50.7% 35.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 11.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 26.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.2% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 5.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 8.3
Free Throw % 79.7% 60.7%
Ball Control VILL
Rebounds 38.2 26.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 5.4
Turnovers 8.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 6.3 4.7
Fouls 11.3 12.8

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 58.4
% of Possessions with VILL
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 37.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 17.1%
Turnover 12.7% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 15.1%