NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH NJIT
Points 66.4 69.4
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 14.1
Shooting UNH NJIT
Field Goals Made 22.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 55.4
Field Goal % 39.7% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.0
Free Throw % 66.3% 70.6%
Ball Control UNH NJIT
Rebounds 36.4 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.4
Steals 5.3 6.2
Fouls 15.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH NJIT
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 67.8
% of Possessions with UNH NJIT
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 22.7%
Turnover 14.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH NJIT
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 23.4%