NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH NJIT
Points 67.4 69.2
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 20.4
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.4
Shooting UNH NJIT
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 17.0
Free Throw % 67.2% 73.0%
Ball Control UNH NJIT
Rebounds 35.2 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.2
Turnovers 9.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 4.8 4.2
Fouls 13.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH NJIT
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 69.0
% of Possessions with UNH NJIT
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.2%
Turnover 13.3% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH NJIT
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.6%