NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB CSUS
Points 71.9 64.6
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 19.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 10.9
Shooting WEB CSUS
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 49.8
Field Goal % 49.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.7%
Ball Control WEB CSUS
Rebounds 26.2 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 8.7
Turnovers 8.5 13.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.3
Steals 7.1 4.2
Fouls 13.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB CSUS
Total Possessions 65.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 60.2
% of Possessions with WEB CSUS
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 24.5% 21.3%
Turnover 13.1% 21.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB CSUS
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 30.3%