NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK ALST
Points 69.7 66.8
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 20.1
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.9
Shooting COOK ALST
Field Goals Made 22.4 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 60.6
Field Goal % 40.9% 35.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 39.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 23.4
Free Throw % 75.9% 72.4%
Ball Control COOK ALST
Rebounds 39.1 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.5
Turnovers 13.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.1
Steals 6.9 8.5
Fouls 16.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK ALST
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 74.9
% of Possessions with COOK ALST
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.0%
Turnover 17.7% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK ALST
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 29.6%